Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 2.371504 2.740074 3.154413 3.656116 4.249032 4.929683 5.773469
2025-03-02 1.781978 2.252776 2.838288 3.626019 4.667249 6.009129 7.889913
2025-03-09 1.503394 2.017238 2.700915 3.689207 5.101280 7.076754 10.103918
2025-03-16 1.284609 1.805748 2.536942 3.656266 5.359564 7.908789 12.117996
2025-03-23 1.126898 1.647590 2.411899 3.641063 5.617010 8.755694 14.296859
2025-03-30 0.991027 1.498569 2.273108 3.573313 5.766731 9.440231 16.328872
2025-04-06 0.907568 1.416332 2.221652 3.629713 6.117464 10.503112 19.228849
2025-04-13 0.811562 1.301032 2.100464 3.548268 6.211378 11.122839 21.423964
2025-04-20 0.769967 1.269096 2.111201 3.693367 6.729765 12.604890 25.646766
2025-04-27 0.708816 1.196386 2.042249 3.682821 6.950038 13.544536 28.942379
2025-05-04 0.674810 1.166793 2.044918 3.804569 7.445699 15.126034 34.041801
2025-05-11 0.630678 1.113962 1.998566 3.823586 7.732202 16.312818 38.504790
2025-05-18 0.585630 1.061116 1.958196 3.875352 8.157294 18.031213 45.171123
2025-05-25 0.533673 0.990705 1.878249 3.840424 8.404969 19.449773 51.698388
2025-06-01 0.499049 0.949180 1.849065 3.907950 8.900568 21.595714 61.076372
2025-06-08 0.459014 0.891798 1.779386 3.872807 9.141001 23.149802 69.299456
2025-06-15 0.425361 0.843431 1.722165 3.856592 9.425834 24.901653 78.895583
2025-06-22 0.391083 0.789810 1.646674 3.784333 9.549564 26.233700 87.645414
2025-06-29 0.370241 0.762630 1.626316 3.844485 10.047399 28.820991 102.185035
2025-07-06 0.341368 0.714669 1.552741 3.757626 10.112709 30.086853 112.226688
2025-07-13 0.330722 0.706326 1.570345 3.912382 10.922290 34.026238 135.413371
2025-07-20 0.310913 0.674868 1.528871 3.901132 11.226160 36.343023 152.772077
2025-07-27 0.300620 0.664496 1.537593 4.031018 12.008271 40.633551 182.060605